Fair Grounds Free Picks – 03/21/2026
Best Bet | Race 2 Braken Poppa
Longshot | Race 4 Tamino
Vulnerable Favorite | Race 10 Lagynos
Pace Meltdown | Race 8
Race 1 | 1 1/16 Mile Turf
DRE Selections Top 4
#9 Royal Causeway | Power Score: 92%
#2 Mount Vernon | Power Score: 90%
#5 Prepped | Power Score: 88%
#1 Road Trippin | Power Score: 86%
Projected Pace:
#3 Classic Tap and #8 Taterpie forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Balanced turf route.
Key Signal:
Clocker Special + Key Race for #9 Royal Causeway.
Analysis
#9 Royal Causeway brings the strongest combination of recent work and Key Race form. #2 Mount Vernon is a major contender with strong connections.
#5 Prepped and #1 Road Trippin add depth in a competitive opener.
Race 2 | 1m70y Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#2 Braken Poppa | Power Score: 97%
#1 Thrill Seeker | Power Score: 90%
#4 Fade to Gold | Power Score: 88%
#6 What’s Love | Power Score: 86%
Projected Pace:
#1 Thrill Seeker and #5 Miss Amber Q forward.
Pace Advantage:
Speed.
Race Shape:
Controlled.
Key Signal:
Best Bet — Track-Proven + peak form #2 Braken Poppa.
Analysis
#2 Braken Poppa is a standout — Track-Proven, dominant recent effort, and clearly the horse to beat. #1 Thrill Seeker is the main alternative.
#4 Fade to Gold and #6 What’s Love complete the contenders.
Race 3 | 1 1/16 Mile Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#5 Marauder | Power Score: 91%
#4 Direct Strike | Power Score: 90%
#6 Double Entendre | Power Score: 89%
#8 Tiernanogue | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#7 Royal Seal and #5 Marauder forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Balanced route.
Key Signal:
Top overall fit for #5 Marauder.
Analysis
#5 Marauder fits best on overall profile and pace positioning. #4 Direct Strike is a logical challenger.
#6 Double Entendre and #8 Tiernanogue provide strong depth.
Race 4 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#8 Rock Music | Power Score: 92%
#10 Tamino | Power Score: 89%
#5 Mouqeer | Power Score: 88%
#3 Great Moment | Power Score: 86%
Projected Pace:
#6 This Is Your Time and #7 Hot Days Ahead forward.
Pace Advantage:
Closers.
Race Shape:
Fast pace.
Key Signal:
Longshot value on #10 Tamino.
Analysis
#8 Rock Music is the logical top selection, but #10 Tamino offers strong value underneath and win upside.
#5 Mouqeer and #3 Great Moment add depth in a wide-open sprint.
Race 5 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#10 Mister Banderas | Power Score: 93%
#4 Dapper Moon | Power Score: 90%
#6 Free Scrim | Power Score: 88%
#5 Achromedoutcat | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#1 Autie and #6 Free Scrim forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Fast sprint.
Key Signal:
Strong overall profile for #10 Mister Banderas.
Analysis
#10 Mister Banderas combines Track-Proven ability with strong connections. #4 Dapper Moon is a major threat off a Key Race.
#6 Free Scrim and #5 Achromedoutcat round out the contenders.
Race 6 | 1 1/16 Mile Turf
DRE Selections Top 4
#3 Way to Be Marie | Power Score: 92%
#1 Ready for Shirl | Power Score: 90%
#5 Cupids Crush | Power Score: 88%
#6 Sea To Sky | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#2 Sophie’s Cruiser and #5 Cupids Crush forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Balanced turf route.
Key Signal:
Track-Proven edge for #3 Way to Be Marie.
Analysis
#3 Way to Be Marie has the ideal profile for this setup. #1 Ready for Shirl is a logical alternative.
#5 Cupids Crush and #6 Sea To Sky provide depth.
Race 7 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#9 Not to Worry | Power Score: 91%
#10 Mo the Merrier | Power Score: 90%
#3 Armet | Power Score: 88%
#4 Radar Lock | Power Score: 86%
Projected Pace:
#2 Impractical and #8 Bearister forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Fast sprint.
Key Signal:
Top selection #9 Not to Worry.
Analysis
#9 Not to Worry has the right blend of pace and form. #10 Mo the Merrier is a strong alternative.
#3 Armet and #4 Radar Lock complete the contenders.
Race 8 | 5½f Turf
DRE Selections Top 4
#1 Nine Part | Power Score: 92%
#5 Monsieur Candy | Power Score: 90%
#3 Hay Jude | Power Score: 88%
#9 Sounds Like Power | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#5 Monsieur Candy and #13 Buy the Rights aggressive early.
Pace Advantage:
Closers.
Race Shape:
Pace meltdown likely.
Key Signal:
Wide-open turf sprint.
Analysis
#1 Nine Part is the most balanced profile, but this race sets up for chaos. #5 Monsieur Candy is a major player.
#3 Hay Jude and #9 Sounds Like Power provide upset potential.
Race 9 | 1 1/8 Mile Dirt (G2)
DRE Selections Top 4
#2 Touchuponastar | Power Score: 96%
#3 Accelerize | Power Score: 91%
#4 Life and Times | Power Score: 89%
#5 Not This Boy | Power Score: 88%
Projected Pace:
#2 Touchuponastar controls.
Pace Advantage:
Speed.
Race Shape:
Controlled stakes pace.
Key Signal:
Elite Distance Proven + Track-Proven #2 Touchuponastar.
Analysis
#2 Touchuponastar is the clear standout with dominant metrics. #3 Accelerize is the main challenger.
#4 Life and Times and #5 Not This Boy add depth.
Race 10 | 1 1/16 Mile Turf (G2)
DRE Selections Top 4
#7 Program Trading | Power Score: 93%
#4 Lagynos | Power Score: 90%
#2 Montador | Power Score: 88%
#5 Tom’s Magic | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#1 Chasing the Crown and #2 Montador forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Balanced turf stakes.
Key Signal:
Value over favorite #7 Program Trading.
Analysis
#7 Program Trading offers the best overall value against a vulnerable favorite. #4 Lagynos is talented but beatable.
#2 Montador and #5 Tom’s Magic provide depth.
Race 11 | 1 1/16 Mile Dirt (G2)
DRE Selections Top 4
#5 Bella Ballerina | Power Score: 95%
#2 Newtown Pike | Power Score: 90%
#6 Life of Joy | Power Score: 89%
#7 Love and Trust | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#5 Bella Ballerina and #4 Luv Your Neighbor forward.
Pace Advantage:
Speed.
Race Shape:
Controlled.
Key Signal:
Dominant profile #5 Bella Ballerina.
Analysis
#5 Bella Ballerina is a standout with elite metrics. #2 Newtown Pike is the main threat.
#6 Life of Joy and #7 Love and Trust round out the contenders.
Race 12 | 1 3/16 Mile Dirt (G2)
DRE Selections Top 4
#3 Chip Honcho | Power Score: 92%
#5 Golden Tempo | Power Score: 90%
#9 Emerging Market | Power Score: 88%
#7 Blacksmith | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#3 Chip Honcho and #7 Blacksmith forward.
Pace Advantage:
Pressers.
Race Shape:
Balanced route.
Key Signal:
Top overall for #3 Chip Honcho.
Analysis
#3 Chip Honcho is the most complete profile. #5 Golden Tempo is a strong challenger.
#9 Emerging Market and #7 Blacksmith add depth.
Race 13 | 1 Mile Turf
DRE Selections Top 4
#1 Determined Dancer | Power Score: 91%
#6 Not That Simple | Power Score: 90%
#3 Prima Donna | Power Score: 88%
#9 Heavenly Melody | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#12 Raspberry and #3 Prima Donna forward.
Pace Advantage:
Closers.
Race Shape:
Fast turf pace.
Key Signal:
Top selection #1 Determined Dancer.
Analysis
#1 Determined Dancer fits best on overall profile. #6 Not That Simple is a major contender.
#3 Prima Donna and #9 Heavenly Melody complete the group.
Race 14 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#1 Dirty Straight Up | Power Score: 94%
#11 My Touch | Power Score: 90%
#7 Slewssongofthenile | Power Score: 88%
#9 Soft Hands | Power Score: 87%
Projected Pace:
#1 Dirty Straight Up and #7 Slewssongofthenile forward.
Pace Advantage:
Speed.
Race Shape:
Controlled sprint.
Key Signal:
Strong finish profile #1 Dirty Straight Up.
Analysis
#1 Dirty Straight Up is the most reliable closer on the card. #11 My Touch is a strong alternative.
#7 Slewssongofthenile and #9 Soft Hands provide depth.
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