Mahoning Valley Free Picks – 04/10/2026
Best Bet | Race 4 #1 Counting On Clyde
Longshot | Race 3 #1 Carson N Spence
Vulnerable Favorite | Race 1 #5 Lord Baranof
Pace Meltdown | Race 5
Race 1 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#3 Usain Th | Power Score: 31.0%
#4 Alter Boy | Power Score: 26.4%
#5 Lord Baranof | Power Score: 23.8%
#2 Orb City | Power Score: 18.8%
#3 Usain Th is the top-ranked runner in the overall Top 3 rankings and should get a favorable stalking trip behind the projected early leaders. His recent speed figures stack up well against this field and the race profile suggests a clean trip could put him in position turning for home.
#4 Alter Boy is a Trainer Edge play for the Cline barn and also shows a strong In-Form Rider/Barn Team angle. #5 Lord Baranof is likely to take money off the morning line but faces pressure from multiple pace players, while #2 Orb City rounds out the top contenders if the pace softens late.
Projected Pace:
#6 Delightful Appeal and #4 Alter Boy expected to show early speed.
Pace Advantage:
#3 Usain Th
Race Shape:
Honest pace.
Key Signal:
Trainer and combo angles support #4 Alter Boy as a major threat.
Race 2 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#2 Ilikethat | Power Score: 32.6%
#5 Ironclad Alibi | Power Score: 25.4%
#4 Hite | Power Score: 22.7%
#1 Chief Buckeye | Power Score: 19.3%
#2 Ilikethat stands out as a Distance Proven runner with a strong record at the six-furlong distance and exits a race that has already produced a next-out winner. That combination often signals a live runner returning in similar company.
#5 Ironclad Alibi owns the top recent Speed figures in the field and will be a major factor if able to secure position early. #4 Hite should sit a tactical trip just behind the leaders, while #1 Chief Buckeye has enough class to stay involved if the pace becomes contested.
Projected Pace:
#6 Mails Here expected to press early fractions.
Pace Advantage:
#2 Ilikethat
Race Shape:
Moderate pace.
Key Signal:
Distance Proven edge for the top selection.
Race 3 | 1m Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#2 Derby Included | Power Score: 30.8%
#6 Mr Loooch | Power Score: 26.1%
#1 Carson N Spence | Power Score: 23.5%
#3 Drill’s Boy | Power Score: 19.6%
#2 Derby Included lands the top ranking for this mile claiming event and benefits from a strong Trainer Edge pattern from the Cline barn. The horse’s recent form indicates a consistent runner capable of controlling the race from just off the lead.
#6 Mr Loooch carries a Sharp Recent Drill signal and has the best overall speed profile in the field. #1 Carson N Spence is a Distance Proven runner with strong trainer/jockey signals, while #3 Drill’s Boy enters with a positive Trainer Edge sprint-to-route angle that can produce improvement.
Projected Pace:
#6 Mr Loooch expected to set or press the early tempo.
Pace Advantage:
#6 Mr Loooch
Race Shape:
Fast pace.
Key Signal:
Multiple trainer angles create upset potential.
Race 4 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#1 Counting On Clyde | Power Score: 36.9%
#7 Balki Bartokomous | Power Score: 25.6%
#6 He Is Dynamic | Power Score: 21.4%
#2 Donald’s Nation | Power Score: 16.1%
Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
3 / 2 / 2 / 1 / 7
#1 Counting On Clyde is the strongest play on the Mahoning card and appears dominant across Speed, Class, and Pace categories. The horse also exits a Possible Key Race and carries a Sharp Recent Drill indicator, suggesting the form cycle remains strong.
#7 Balki Bartokomous profiles as the most logical challenger with competitive speed figures and a consistent class profile. #6 He Is Dynamic should be forwardly placed early, while #2 Donald’s Nation is a Trainer Edge play capable of improvement if the pace heats up.
Projected Pace:
#1 Counting On Clyde likely controls the race early.
Pace Advantage:
#1 Counting On Clyde
Race Shape:
Moderate pace favoring the favorite.
Key Signal:
Sharp Recent Drill + Key Race exit.
Race 5 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#7 Gunner Gabriel | Power Score: 31.4%
#4 Red Head Kid | Power Score: 26.7%
#1 Midnight Warship | Power Score: 22.3%
#2 The Pink Z | Power Score: 19.6%
#7 Gunner Gabriel is both Distance Proven and Track-Proven, an extremely strong combination at Mahoning. The horse owns a strong record at this six-furlong trip and fits well against this allowance field.
#4 Red Head Kid comes in with a hot rider signal and competitive speed numbers. #1 Midnight Warship benefits from an In-Form Rider/Barn Team angle, while #2 The Pink Z adds a strong trainer signal that keeps him firmly in the mix.
Projected Pace:
#1 Midnight Warship and #4 Red Head Kid press early.
Pace Advantage:
#7 Gunner Gabriel
Race Shape:
Fast pace.
Key Signal:
Distance and Track-Proven profile.
Race 6 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#5 Time the Avenger | Power Score: 30.7%
#6 Colonel Vargo | Power Score: 26.8%
#7 Ramsey | Power Score: 23.4%
#2 Atkins | Power Score: 19.1%
#5 Time the Avenger gets the top ranking in this allowance event with a balanced profile across Speed and Class ratings. The runner should secure a favorable stalking trip behind the leaders.
#6 Colonel Vargo is a strong Distance Proven and Track-Proven runner and exits a Possible Key Race. #7 Ramsey also brings a strong distance profile, while #2 Atkins is a Trainer Edge play first start after the claim.
Projected Pace:
#6 Colonel Vargo and #3 Sheisthehero contest the lead.
Pace Advantage:
#5 Time the Avenger
Race Shape:
Honest pace.
Key Signal:
Distance specialists dominate contenders.
Race 7 | 1m Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#5 Romanian Prince | Power Score: 33.5%
#4 Judge Rules | Power Score: 27.2%
#1 The Doorman | Power Score: 22.8%
#2 Oklahoma Joe | Power Score: 16.5%
Late Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
1 / 7 / 5 / 5 / 7
#5 Romanian Prince is the top overall selection in this allowance mile and appears well placed against this group. The horse holds the strongest overall profile when combining Speed and Class figures.
#4 Judge Rules enters with a strong In-Form Rider/Barn Team angle and could be dangerous if able to secure a clean trip. #1 The Doorman benefits from a hot jockey signal, while #2 Oklahoma Joe remains competitive if the pace scenario unfolds favorably.
Projected Pace:
#2 Oklahoma Joe expected to show early speed.
Pace Advantage:
#5 Romanian Prince
Race Shape:
Moderate pace.
Key Signal:
Strong class profile for the favorite.
Race 8 | 6f Dirt
DRE Selections Top 4
#7 Peripoli | Power Score: 34.8%
#2 Scaredy Catness | Power Score: 26.4%
#1 Duo | Power Score: 20.1%
#6 A Ok | Power Score: 18.7%
#7 Peripoli towers over this field with multiple signals including Trainer Edge, Hot Trainer, and In-Form Rider/Barn Team angles. The horse also carries strong Speed and Class figures relative to the field.
#2 Scaredy Catness is the main threat with a hot trainer signal and competitive pace numbers. #1 Duo may improve with the right trip, while #6 A Ok exits a Possible Key Race and adds a strong jockey angle.
Projected Pace:
#4 Daredevil Doug and #6 A Ok expected to press early.
Pace Advantage:
#7 Peripoli
Race Shape:
Fast pace.
Key Signal:
Multiple trainer/jockey signals support the favorite.
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