Race 1 — Clm $12,500 — 6f
Top 4 Selections: 6 • 2 • 5 • 1
#6 Boat Song gets the nod as the most reliable speed/class combo in a race where the rail has been gold all meet at 6f. He’s drawn outside the other pace, giving him the option to press or pounce, and his recent figures tower over this group. Robertson has been live all meet, and this one’s tactical enough to avoid the inside scrum that often melts down.
#2 Lightning Struck fits the profile of an Asmussen drop‑and‑pop type — lightly raced, protected early, and now placed where he belongs. His last two races came against significantly tougher, and he projects to sit a perfect E/P trip behind the 6 and 5. With the barn heating up, he’s a major player.
#5 Unload gets a big rider upgrade to Bealmear, who’s been red‑hot per the Hot Jockey list. His last race was better than it looks — he chased a wicked pace on a day when outside stalkers dominated. Today’s shape is softer, and he’s the one who could blow this up late if the top pair hook up.
#1 Kunshan Bridge draws the rail on a track that’s been kind to inside speed. He’s not as fast as the top trio, but he’s consistent, gets a clean run, and owns back races that fit. If the pace backs up, he’s the one who can grind into the exotics.
Race 2 — F&M Clm $32,000 — 6f
Top 4 Selections: 5 • 6 • 4 • 3
#5 Windy Bay lands in a perfect spot for Hartman, who’s been firing all meet. She’s tactical, draws well, and exits a race that came back live. Her last figure fits like a glove, and she projects to sit the winning trip behind the 2 and 4.
#6 Talkin in Cursive gets Torres J A and owns the right pace‑pressing style for a track that’s been rewarding inside‑speed types. Her last race was deceptively strong — she dueled through a hot half and still held late. Any step forward makes her dangerous.
#4 Lover Girl has the right kind of early foot to take advantage of the bias. Williams has been sneaky‑live with these types, and Torres C A is riding with confidence. If she clears, she could get brave.
#3 Edistrudis gets Saez and drops into a realistic spot after facing tougher. Her figures are competitive, and she’s the one who could clunk up late if the pace collapses.
Race 3 — 3yo OptClm $62,500 — 1 Mile
Top 4 Selections: 3 • 7 • 4 • 5
#3 Misinformation is simply the horse to beat. Casse has him razor‑sharp, and his last race was a monster — he pressed a strong pace and still kicked clear. The mile suits him perfectly, and Torres C A fits him like a glove. He’s the controlling speed and the most likely winner.
#7 Herbs Bolt is the value alternative. Saez climbs aboard, and Sharp has been live with these second‑off‑the‑bench types. His last race was a sneaky good effort — he was wide on a day when the rail was gold. Expect a big forward move.
#4 Horse of the Sea is all class for Cox and gets Torres J A. He’s been facing tougher and now lands in a spot where his tactical speed plays well. If the 3 stubs his toe, this is the one who picks up the pieces.
#5 Highly Connected gets Cedillo, who’s been riding lights‑out. His last race was compromised by a poor break, but his late pace figures say he belongs. He’s a must‑use underneath.
Race 4 — F&M Clm $32,000 — 1 1/16 Miles
Top 4 Selections: 8 • 1 • 4 • 3
#8 Thea is a 3‑Star Best Bet and the clear standout. She owns a massive speed/class edge and exits a brutally tough allowance where she ran far better than the line suggests. Stuart has her Sharp and Ready, and the stretch‑out is exactly what she wants. She’s the most likely winner on the card.
#1 Onmywaytosavthday draws perfectly and gets Torres C A, who excels with inside‑speed types. Jacobson spots her aggressively, and her last two figures fit. She’s the main danger if Thea doesn’t fire.
#4 Bamtwentyklater gets Vazquez R A — one of the hottest riders on the grounds. Amoss has been sneaky‑live with these mid‑level claimers, and this mare’s tactical speed keeps her in the game throughout.
#3 Catching Heat is the “other” Asmussen but not without a chance. She’s consistent, gets a favorable pace setup, and should be rolling late.
Race 5 — MdnClm $12,500 — 6f
Top 4 Selections: 11 • 5 • 9 • 12
#11 Gimme a Chance is the top pick and exits a Possible Key Race where the winner came right back. Witt II has been live with these types, and Torres C A sticks. She’s drawn perfectly outside the chaos and should get first run.
#5 Southfork is the price horse who could blow this up. His last race was better than it looks — he was wide on a day when the rail was dominant. With a cleaner trip, he’s right there.
#9 Bigwrigdude is the 3‑Star Best Bet and the most likely winner if he breaks cleanly. He exits a legit Key Race (2 next‑out winners), owns the best speed figures, and gets Saez. The only knock is the short price.
#12 Denali Lightning is a live longshot with a Clocker Special and a hot trainer/jockey combo. His 3f drill was sharp, and he’s drawn outside the trouble. Don’t leave him off deeper tickets.
Race 6 — Alw $125,000 — 1 1/16 Miles (F&M)
Top 4 Selections: 5 • 8 • 3 • 6
#5 Floating Beauty is the top pick and owns the best blend of tactical speed and finishing punch. Her last race was a perfect tightener, and Briley has her sitting on a peak effort. Expect Torres C A to put her in the garden spot.
#8 Lolo Le Plume gets Vazquez R A — the hottest rider on the grounds — and Hess has been firing with these allowance types. She’s consistent, classy, and projects to sit a perfect E/P trip.
#3 Kerry’s Kiss is the pace wildcard. She’s quick enough to make the front, and the track has been kind to inside speed at this distance. If she shakes loose, she could get brave.
#6 Colonial Rose gets the powerful Casse/Saez combo (a hot pairing per the sheet). She’s lightly raced, improving, and dangerous if the pace melts down.
Race 7 — Mdn $110,000 (3yo Fillies) — 6f
Top 4 Selections: 5 • 4 • 7 • 2
#5 Black Magic River is a Blue Chip Trainer Play for Hartman and gets Saez — a lethal combo. Her debut was sneaky good, and the 2nd‑time Lasix angle is strong. Expect a big forward move.
#4 Helene’s Power has the best raw speed in the field and gets Asmussen E. Pish spots her aggressively, and her works say she’s ready to fire.
#7 Bet the Gray is another Blue Chip angle and gets Torres C A. Williams excels with 46–90 day layoffs, and this filly has been training like a runner.
#2 Fraud Alert owns a Clocker Special and has the kind of early foot that plays well at 6f. She’s the one who could get brave if she clears.
Race 8 — AlwOC $125,000 (3yo Fillies) — 1 Mile
Top 4 Selections: 5 • 7 • 2 • 4
#5 Sticker Shock is the top pick and exits a sharp 4f drill at PAY that screams readiness. Cox has her primed, and Torres C A fits her perfectly. She’s the controlling speed and the most likely winner.
#7 Copper Wind is the value play. The Asmussen barn has been firing, and this filly’s last race was better than it looks — she was wide every step. Expect a big step forward.
#2 Scot’s Law owns a Clocker Special and gets Saez. Ortiz has been live with these types, and her tactical speed keeps her in the mix.
#4 Authentic Cat gets Esquivel and McPeek — a hot combo per the sheet. She’s improving, and her last race hinted at more to come.
Race 9 — MdnClm $12,500 (F&M) — 6f
Top 4 Selections: 8 • 3 • 9 • 2
#8 Jack’s Gal is a Blue Chip Trainer Play and drops multiple classes — a 31% winning angle for Hornsby. She’s drawn perfectly and should sit the winning trip.
#3 Shrimp Cookie is another Blue Chip angle and gets Espinoza. Compton excels with these big class drops, and this filly’s figures fit.
#9 Paris Accord gets Torres C A and Witt II — a combo that’s been firing all meet. She’s consistent and owns the best late pace in the field.
#2 Ghost Money is a live longshot with a Hot Trainer, Hot Jockey, and a Blue Chip angle. She’s the one who could blow up the exotics.
